Ammanford 1-2 Trefelin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.21
Over 2.5
63%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.56
No
38%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
13%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+6.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-4.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.9pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ammanford EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Trefelin EU Bookmakers 56%
+10% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.60/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.61
+5% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
249 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ammanford
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Trefelin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
22.11.2024 Trefelin Trefelin 0-1 HT 0-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
27.02.2024 Trefelin Trefelin 1-2 HT 0-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
15.12.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 1-1 HT 0-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
13.10.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 2-2 HT 1-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALWK
05.08.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 2-2 HT 0-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALLK
17.02.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 1-1 HT 1-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ammanford vs Trefelin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trefelin squeezed past Ammanford 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Trefelin as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ammanford had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ammanford and 1.17 for Trefelin.

What was the final score of Ammanford vs Trefelin?

Ammanford 1-2 Trefelin in the Wales - FAW Championship on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ammanford vs Trefelin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trefelin win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ammanford 31%, draw 21%, Trefelin 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trefelin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trefelin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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