Gorica 1-1 Tabor Sezana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
17%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gorica EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Tabor Sezana EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.79/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/2.10
+18% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gorica
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Tabor Sezana
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.09.2024 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana 0-0 HT 0-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
04.05.2024 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana 2-2 HT 1-1 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
13.10.2023 Gorica Gorica 1-1 HT 1-0 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana SLVN2
16.03.2023 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana 0-1 HT 0-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN
29.11.2022 Gorica Gorica 1-1 HT 0-1 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana SLVN
10.09.2022 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana 1-3 HT 1-2 Gorica Gorica SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gorica
1-1
AWAY Tabor Sezana
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gorica vs Tabor Sezana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gorica and Tabor Sezana shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gorica at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gorica had 50% of the ball to Tabor Sezana's 50%, shots finished 9-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gorica had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gorica and 0.83 for Tabor Sezana.

What was the final score of Gorica vs Tabor Sezana?

Gorica 1-1 Tabor Sezana in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gorica vs Tabor Sezana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gorica 41%, draw 29%, Tabor Sezana 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gorica), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gorica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN2 More Slovenia - 2.SNL
21 Mar 2025
17:30 Bistrica vs NK Brinje Analysis →