CA Penarol vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA Penarol v Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Team-Based Signals
CA Penarol vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
URU
2-0
HT 0-0
CA Penarol
URU
0-1
HT 0-0
CA Penarol
URU
0-1
HT 0-1
Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
URU
CA Penarol 0-3 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) ran out comfortable winners over CA Penarol 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was CA Penarol at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, CA Penarol had 55% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 45%, shots finished 17-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CA Penarol and 1.00 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).
What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?
CA Penarol 0-3 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 51%, draw 25%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 24%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (CA Penarol), Under 2.5 went the other way.