AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Peterborough United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.0
Over
58%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.53
2-3
40%
1.75
4-5
24%
3.07
6+
14%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.94
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
10%
5.03
X/2
12%
6.78
X/X
8%
4.95
2/1
9%
23.95
2/2
14%
4.66
2/X
8%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.95 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME AFC Wimbledon The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough United The Market 33%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.78 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.23
1.26 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.55
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Weak
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 74%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
26.3 Crosses 16.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Wimbledon
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Peterborough United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.87 xG 2.47
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
246 Passes 361
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.11.2025 Peterborough United Peterborough United 5-0 HT 3-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
12.07.2024 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon HAZ
30.01.2024 Peterborough United Peterborough United 3-1 HT 2-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İNTK
20.02.2021 Peterborough United Peterborough United 3-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
02.12.2020 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
18.01.2020 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Wimbledon
1-1
AWAY Peterborough United
2.35 xG 2.11
49% Ball Possession 51%
24 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 2
265 Passes 314
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
38 Box Touches 11
31 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW AFC Wimbledon vs Peterborough United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

AFC Wimbledon and Peterborough United traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Wimbledon at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals card split: both teams to score (59%) came in, over 2.5 goals (58%) didn't.

Under the surface, AFC Wimbledon had 49% of the ball to Peterborough United's 51%, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 2.35 to 2.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for AFC Wimbledon and 2.00 for Peterborough United.

AFC Wimbledon vs Peterborough United Result & Final Score

AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Peterborough United in the England - 1st Division on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

AFC Wimbledon vs Peterborough United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Wimbledon win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split AFC Wimbledon 45%, draw 22%, Peterborough United 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Wimbledon), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Wimbledon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
21 Mar 2026
15:30 Luton Town vs Stockport County Analysis →
15:30 Cardiff City vs Blackpool Analysis →
18:00 Leyton Orient vs Wycombe Wanderers Analysis →
18:00 Burton Albion vs Bradford City Analysis →
18:00 Mansfield Town vs Northampton Town Analysis →
18:00 Lincoln City vs Rotherham United Analysis →