Peterborough United 3-1 AFC Wimbledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 30 Jan 2024

Peterborough United
3-1 HT 2-0
AFC Wimbledon
📅30/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Futbol League Cup – 2023/2024

Peterborough United vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.29
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
2.96
6+ Goals
14%
8.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.95
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.55
X/1
12%
3.87
X/2
5%
10.8
X/X
11%
6.03
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.95
2/2
12%
7.95
2/X
6%
16.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.95 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-6.8pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.0pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peterborough United v AFC Wimbledon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.38/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.52
+19% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
17.0 Crosses 17.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6

Peterborough United vs AFC Wimbledon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.33 xG 0.78
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
334 Passes 247
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
28 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.02.2021 Peterborough United Peterborough United 3-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
02.12.2020 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
18.01.2020 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
28.09.2019 Peterborough United Peterborough United 3-2 HT 2-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
12.03.2019 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
27.11.2018 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1

Peterborough United 3-1 AFC Wimbledon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough United
3-1
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
2.49 xG 0.79
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 8
433 Passes 273
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Peterborough United vs AFC Wimbledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough United got the better of AFC Wimbledon 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Peterborough United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Peterborough United had 57% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 43%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 2.49 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Peterborough United and 1.00 for AFC Wimbledon.

What was the final score of Peterborough United vs AFC Wimbledon?

Peterborough United 3-1 AFC Wimbledon in the England - Futbol League Cup on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough United vs AFC Wimbledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United 52%, draw 24%, AFC Wimbledon 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peterborough United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNTK More England - Futbol League Cup
30 Jan 2024
22:00 Blackpool vs Bolton Wanderers Analysis →
22:30 Bradford City vs Doncaster Rovers Analysis →