Bradford City 1-0 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 30 Jan 2024

📅30/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.67
6+ Goals
12%
15.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.67 — our 25% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.52
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
13%
4.18
X/2
13%
7.74
X/X
11%
4.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
24.7
2/2
14%
5.97
2/X
7%
14.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.7 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford City EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 28%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.66/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.19
+34% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 72%
14.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
13.1 Crosses 15.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.10 xG 0.63
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
285 Passes 243
68% Pass Accuracy 63%
25 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-3 HT 1-2 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
25.02.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
30.07.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
08.09.2020 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İNTK
06.04.2019 Bradford City Bradford City 0-1 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
22.09.2018 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bradford City
1-0
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
0.64 xG 0.78
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 7
248 Passes 207
68% Pass Accuracy 63%
25 Box Touches 29
23 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bradford City vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City nicked a narrow win over Doncaster Rovers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bradford City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Bradford City had 52% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 48%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 0.64 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bradford City and 0.67 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Bradford City vs Doncaster Rovers?

Bradford City 1-0 Doncaster Rovers in the England - Futbol League Cup on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford City vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bradford City 44%, draw 24%, Doncaster Rovers 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bradford City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bradford City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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