London City (K) 1-1 Chelsea (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
61%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
39%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
14%
+0.6pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.4pp
62%
Away Win
68%
-6.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME London City (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 72%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.77/2.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/0.96
+10% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +48%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 45.7
18.0 Crosses 26.7
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME London City (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Chelsea (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.71 xG 2.62
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 9
276 Passes 391
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 39
16 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.11.2025 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 London City (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME London City (K)
1-1
AWAY Chelsea (K)
1.25 xG 1.78
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 6
234 Passes 364
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH London City (K) vs Chelsea (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

London City (K) and Chelsea (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Chelsea (K) at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, London City (K) had 42% of the ball to Chelsea (K)'s 58%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.25 to 1.78.

What was the final score of London City (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

London City (K) 1-1 Chelsea (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for London City (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split London City (K) 15%, draw 24%, Chelsea (K) 62%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chelsea (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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