Manchester City (K) 5-2 Tottenham Hotspur (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
82%
1.27
Draw
7%
5.28
Away
11%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
24%
Over 2.5
76%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
55%
1/2
5%
1/X
2%
X/1
16%
X/2
2%
X/X
2%
2/1
12%
2/2
4%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
82%
Home Win
74%
+7.8pp
7%
Draw
16%
-8.4pp
11%
Away Win
10%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham Hotspur (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.68/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/2.81
+34% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
38.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.8
23.8 Crosses 8.2
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester City (K)
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Tottenham Hotspur (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
3.02 xG 0.75
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
525 Passes 268
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
40 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2025 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-5 HT 0-3 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
02.03.2025 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
08.11.2024 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) İNKPL
10.03.2024 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKFAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City (K)
5-2
AWAY Tottenham Hotspur (K)
2.50 xG 2.71
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
465 Passes 299
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
38 Box Touches 34
23 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Manchester City (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City (K) swept aside Tottenham Hotspur (K) 5-2. Half-time: 5-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Manchester City (K) as the likeliest winner at 82%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (76%) came in.

On the day, Manchester City (K) had 61% of the ball to Tottenham Hotspur (K)'s 39%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 2.50 to 2.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Manchester City (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Manchester City (K) and 0.75 for Tottenham Hotspur (K).

What was the final score of Manchester City (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K)?

Manchester City (K) 5-2 Tottenham Hotspur (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 82%, with the full match-result split Manchester City (K) 82%, draw 7%, Tottenham Hotspur (K) 11%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNKPL More England - Women's Premier League
21 Mar 2026
15:00 Arsenal (K) vs West Ham United (K) Analysis →
15:00 Manchester United (K) vs Everton (K) Analysis →
15:00 London City (K) vs Chelsea (K) Analysis →