Leganes 5-2 Ceuta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 21 Mar 2026

Leganes
5 - 2 HT 1 - 1
Ceuta
📅21/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Leganes vs Ceuta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
54%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
1.71
Over
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.74
2-3
46%
1.73
4-5
21%
3.95
6+
4%
18.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.47
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
19%
4.24
X/2
8%
8.22
X/X
16%
4.39
2/1
3%
26.0
2/2
11%
6.81
2/X
5%
15.35
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Leganes v Ceuta — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Leganes The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceuta The Market 26%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.92 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.87
0.89 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.32
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Strong
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2

Leganes vs Ceuta Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leganes
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ceuta
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.26 xG 0.99
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
219 Passes 393
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.11.2025 Ceuta Ceuta 1-2 HT 0-1 Leganes Leganes İS2

Leganes 5-2 Ceuta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leganes
5 - 2
AWAY Ceuta
5.09 xG 2.38
46% Ball Possession 54%
21 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
246 Passes 286
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Leganes vs Ceuta
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Leganes ran out comfortable winners over Ceuta 5-2. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. With 7 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Leganes as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 50% on both teams scoring.

On the day, Ceuta saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 5.09 to 2.38.

Leganes vs Ceuta Result & Final Score

Leganes 5 - 2 Ceuta in the Spain - 2nd Division on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Leganes vs Ceuta Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Leganes win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Leganes 54%, draw 26%, Ceuta 20%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leganes) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leganes) ✗ Under 2.5
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