Ceuta vs Leganes Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ceuta v Leganes — Team-Based Signals
Ceuta 1-2 Leganes — Actual Match Statistics
Leganes squeezed past Ceuta 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Leganes made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ceuta had 62% of the ball to Leganes's 38%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.99 to 1.26.
What was the final score of Ceuta vs Leganes?
Ceuta 1-2 Leganes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ceuta vs Leganes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ceuta 40%, draw 29%, Leganes 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.