Almeria 3-0 Cadiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.99
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.6
X/1
16%
4.07
X/2
7%
11.25
X/X
13%
5.51
2/1
15%
23.1
2/2
6%
9.34
2/X
4%
17.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Almeria win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
60%
+2.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-0.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
2.12/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.65
+49% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +56%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 71%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
17.2 Crosses 12.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almeria
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Cadiz
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.87 xG 1.24
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
340 Passes 306
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.05.2025 Cadiz Cadiz 2-1 HT 0-1 Almeria Almeria İS2
22.12.2024 Almeria Almeria 1-1 HT 0-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
25.05.2024 Almeria Almeria 6-1 HT 0-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
26.08.2023 Cadiz Cadiz 1-1 HT 0-0 Almeria Almeria İS1
18.03.2023 Almeria Almeria 1-1 HT 0-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
30.12.2022 Cadiz Cadiz 1-1 HT 0-1 Almeria Almeria İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria
3-0
AWAY Cadiz
2.19 xG 0.90
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 5
294 Passes 184
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 15
30 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Almeria vs Cadiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almeria cruised past Cadiz 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Almeria as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Almeria had 59% of the ball to Cadiz's 41%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.19 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Almeria and 1.17 for Cadiz.

What was the final score of Almeria vs Cadiz?

Almeria 3-0 Cadiz in the Spain - 2nd Division on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria vs Cadiz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Almeria 61%, draw 22%, Cadiz 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almeria), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Almeria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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