Cadiz vs Almeria Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cadiz v Almeria — Team-Based Signals
Cadiz vs Almeria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Almeria
İS1
1-1
HT 0-0
Cadiz
İS1
1-1
HT 0-1
Almeria
İS1
1-1
HT 1-0
Almeria
HAZ
Cadiz 2-1 Almeria — Actual Match Statistics
Cadiz nicked a narrow win over Almeria 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Almeria at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Cadiz had 64% of the ball to Almeria's 36%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.72 to 1.09.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almeria led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cadiz and 1.83 for Almeria.
What was the final score of Cadiz vs Almeria?
Cadiz 2-1 Almeria in the Spain - 2nd Division on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cadiz vs Almeria?
Before kick-off our model rated an Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cadiz 31%, draw 25%, Almeria 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.