Mirandes 0-2 Burgos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
6.05
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
5.04
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.5
X/1
8%
6.0
X/2
16%
4.89
X/X
18%
3.5
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
14%
3.69
2/X
7%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.0pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.6pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.9pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirandes EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Burgos EU Bookmakers 42%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.25/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.92
+19% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
17.1 Crosses 14.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirandes
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Burgos
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.95 xG 0.65
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
317 Passes 298
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2025 Mirandes Mirandes 2-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
13.10.2024 Burgos Burgos 0-1 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
21.04.2024 Mirandes Mirandes 2-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
09.12.2023 Burgos Burgos 0-0 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
23.04.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 2-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
16.10.2022 Burgos Burgos 2-1 HT 1-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirandes
0-2
AWAY Burgos
0.73 xG 1.62
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
294 Passes 312
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mirandes vs Burgos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos got the better of Mirandes 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Burgos found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mirandes had 49% of the ball to Burgos's 51%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.73 to 1.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mirandes had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mirandes and 0.83 for Burgos.

What was the final score of Mirandes vs Burgos?

Mirandes 0-2 Burgos in the Spain - 2nd Division on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirandes vs Burgos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mirandes 33%, draw 30%, Burgos 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burgos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Burgos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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