Mirandes vs Burgos Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mirandes v Burgos — Team-Based Signals
Mirandes vs Burgos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Mirandes
İS2
2-1
HT 0-0
Burgos
İS2
2-1
HT 1-0
Mirandes
İS2
3-1
HT 1-1
Burgos
İS2
Mirandes 2-1 Burgos — Actual Match Statistics
Mirandes edged past Burgos 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Mirandes as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mirandes had 53% of the ball to Burgos's 47%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.97 to 1.54 — on chances, Burgos could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mirandes had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mirandes and 0.83 for Burgos.
What was the final score of Mirandes vs Burgos?
Mirandes 2-1 Burgos in the Spain - 2nd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mirandes vs Burgos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mirandes win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mirandes 47%, draw 31%, Burgos 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirandes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.