Albacete vs Cartagena Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Albacete v Cartagena — Team-Based Signals
Albacete vs Cartagena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Albacete
İS2
1-1
HT 1-0
Cartagena
İS2
2-1
HT 0-0
Albacete
İS2
Albacete 3-1 Cartagena — Actual Match Statistics
Albacete beat Cartagena 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Albacete as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Albacete had 54% of the ball to Cartagena's 46%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.87 to 0.91.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cartagena led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Albacete and 1.00 for Cartagena.
What was the final score of Albacete vs Cartagena?
Albacete 3-1 Cartagena in the Spain - 2nd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Albacete vs Cartagena?
Before kick-off our model rated a Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Albacete 58%, draw 19%, Cartagena 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albacete), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.