Eldense 1-1 Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.97
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 29% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.12
1/2
10%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
14%
4.99
X/2
10%
6.76
X/X
10%
4.52
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
14%
4.96
2/X
11%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eldense EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cordoba EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
1.47/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.48
-7% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
21.6 Crosses 24.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eldense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cordoba
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.43 xG 2.05
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 2
289 Passes 270
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Cordoba Cordoba 2-0 HT 1-0 Eldense Eldense İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eldense
1-1
AWAY Cordoba
0.78 xG 0.27
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
112 Passes 330
57% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eldense vs Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eldense and Cordoba couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Eldense had 33% of the ball to Cordoba's 67%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.78 to 0.27.

What was the final score of Eldense vs Cordoba?

Eldense 1-1 Cordoba in the Spain - 2nd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eldense vs Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eldense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Eldense 37%, draw 28%, Cordoba 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Eldense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eldense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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