Granada 1-1 Elche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.25
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
23%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.43
6+ Goals
9%
23.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
3.38
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
18%
5.15
X/2
9%
6.66
X/X
12%
3.86
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
8%
5.06
2/X
8%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
41%
+10.9pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.6pp
23%
Away Win
29%
-6.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.3pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche EU Bookmakers 32%
+17% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +6%
1.72/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.31
+29% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
21.6 Crosses 19.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Granada
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Elche
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.51 xG 1.37
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
264 Passes 336
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2024 Elche Elche 2-2 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS2
12.03.2022 Granada Granada 0-1 HT 0-1 Elche Elche İS1
02.01.2022 Elche Elche 0-0 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS1
28.02.2021 Granada Granada 2-1 HT 1-1 Elche Elche İS1
13.12.2020 Elche Elche 0-1 HT 0-1 Granada Granada İS1
21.01.2019 Granada Granada 2-1 HT 2-0 Elche Elche İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada
1-1
AWAY Elche
1.68 xG 0.79
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
276 Passes 430
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Granada vs Elche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Granada and Elche shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Granada at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Granada had 41% of the ball to Elche's 59%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.68 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Granada had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Granada and 0.83 for Elche.

What was the final score of Granada vs Elche?

Granada 1-1 Elche in the Spain - 2nd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada vs Elche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Granada win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Granada 52%, draw 26%, Elche 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Granada), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Granada) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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