Albacete 1-1 Cartagena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 3 Feb 2024

Albacete
1-1 HT 1-0
Cartagena
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Albacete vs Cartagena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
4.59
6+ Goals
8%
24.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.54 — our 37% vs market 32.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.4
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.6
X/1
12%
3.93
X/2
15%
8.82
X/X
12%
4.03
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
10%
7.54
2/X
10%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-9.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.6pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Albacete v Cartagena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albacete EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Cartagena EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.50/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.56
+5% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
20.1 Crosses 18.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0

Albacete vs Cartagena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albacete
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cartagena
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.11 xG 1.02
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
313 Passes 311
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.11.2023 Cartagena Cartagena 1-1 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
29.04.2023 Albacete Albacete 1-1 HT 1-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
10.09.2022 Cartagena Cartagena 2-1 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
22.03.2021 Albacete Albacete 2-0 HT 1-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
31.10.2020 Cartagena Cartagena 3-1 HT 3-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
09.08.2017 Cartagena Cartagena 2-0 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete HAZ

Albacete 1-1 Cartagena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albacete
1-1
AWAY Cartagena
0.45 xG 0.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
277 Passes 230
71% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Albacete vs Cartagena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albacete and Cartagena couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Albacete at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Albacete had 53% of the ball to Cartagena's 47%, shots finished 5-11, expected goals 0.45 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cartagena led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Albacete and 1.50 for Cartagena.

What was the final score of Albacete vs Cartagena?

Albacete 1-1 Cartagena in the Spain - 2nd Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albacete vs Cartagena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Albacete 42%, draw 28%, Cartagena 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Albacete), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Albacete) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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