Huesca 1-0 Alcorcon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.41
Over 2.5
40%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.95
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
16%
6.79
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.97
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
9%
15.35
X/1
20%
4.1
X/2
8%
7.29
X/X
14%
3.23
2/1
10%
34.0
2/2
9%
6.64
2/X
7%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.5pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.7pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
67%
-6.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
33%
+6.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+7.7pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huesca EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.10/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.47
+5% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
18.9 Crosses 14.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huesca
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Alcorcon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.68 xG 0.80
52% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
295 Passes 265
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Alcorcon Alcorcon 0-2 HT 0-2 Huesca Huesca İS2
13.03.2022 Alcorcon Alcorcon 1-0 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
19.12.2021 Huesca Huesca 0-0 HT 0-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
08.07.2020 Huesca Huesca 2-1 HT 2-1 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
30.11.2019 Alcorcon Alcorcon 0-2 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
13.05.2018 Huesca Huesca 1-1 HT 0-1 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huesca
1-0
AWAY Alcorcon
1.41 xG 0.34
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
363 Passes 326
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Huesca vs Alcorcon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huesca squeezed past Alcorcon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Huesca as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Huesca had 51% of the ball to Alcorcon's 49%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.41 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Huesca had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Huesca and 0.50 for Alcorcon.

What was the final score of Huesca vs Alcorcon?

Huesca 1-0 Alcorcon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huesca vs Alcorcon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huesca win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Huesca 45%, draw 30%, Alcorcon 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Huesca), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Huesca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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