Mirandes 3-0 Villarreal II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.15
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 27% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.58
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
14%
4.36
X/2
10%
7.85
X/X
14%
4.45
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
12%
5.95
2/X
5%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirandes EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.65/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.58
+26% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
16.7 Crosses 11.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirandes
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Villarreal II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.45 xG 1.21
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
228 Passes 422
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Villarreal II Villarreal II 0-3 HT 0-1 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
11.02.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 2-1 HT 1-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2
03.09.2022 Villarreal II Villarreal II 3-0 HT 1-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirandes
3-0
AWAY Villarreal II
2.18 xG 0.12
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
397 Passes 302
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 7
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mirandes vs Villarreal II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirandes cruised past Villarreal II 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mirandes as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Mirandes had 56% of the ball to Villarreal II's 44%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 2.18 to 0.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mirandes had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mirandes and 1.33 for Villarreal II.

What was the final score of Mirandes vs Villarreal II?

Mirandes 3-0 Villarreal II in the Spain - 2nd Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirandes vs Villarreal II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirandes win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mirandes 48%, draw 25%, Villarreal II 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirandes), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mirandes) ✓ Over 2.5
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