Burgos 0-1 Mirandes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 13 Oct 2024

Burgos
0-1
Mirandes
📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Burgos vs Mirandes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.41
Over 2.5
38%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
17%
6.71
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.18
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.9
X/1
17%
4.32
X/2
11%
6.86
X/X
13%
3.22
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
13%
6.09
2/X
7%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.0pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
67%
-4.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
33%
+4.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.1pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Burgos v Mirandes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirandes EU Bookmakers 29%
+19% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +1%
1.31/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.22
+24% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
18.4 Crosses 18.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Burgos vs Mirandes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mirandes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.39 xG 1.02
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
266 Passes 364
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.04.2024 Mirandes Mirandes 2-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
09.12.2023 Burgos Burgos 0-0 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
23.04.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 2-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
16.10.2022 Burgos Burgos 2-1 HT 1-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
10.04.2022 Mirandes Mirandes 3-1 HT 1-1 Burgos Burgos İS2
03.10.2021 Burgos Burgos 1-0 HT 1-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2

Burgos 0-1 Mirandes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos
0-1
AWAY Mirandes
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
434 Passes 204
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
POST-MATCH Burgos vs Mirandes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirandes nicked a narrow win over Burgos 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Burgos at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Burgos had 63% of the ball to Mirandes's 37%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mirandes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Burgos and 1.33 for Mirandes.

What was the final score of Burgos vs Mirandes?

Burgos 0-1 Mirandes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos vs Mirandes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Burgos 43%, draw 29%, Mirandes 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Burgos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burgos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
13 Oct 2024
00:00 Huesca vs Albacete Analysis →
00:00 Real Oviedo vs Almeria Analysis →
00:00 Racing Santander vs Levante Analysis →
00:00 Granada vs Cordoba Analysis →
00:00 Elche vs Deportivo La Coruna Analysis →