Burgos Promesas 2000 4-4 Rayo Cantabria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.2pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+3.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.0pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos Promesas 2000 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 43%
-15% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.89/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.71
-22% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -43%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos Promesas 2000
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Rayo Cantabria
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2025 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 0-0 HT 0-0 Burgos Promesas 2000 İS4
15.01.2023 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 1-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Promesas 2000 İS4
13.02.2022 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 0-2 HT 0-0 Burgos Promesas 2000 İS4
26.09.2021 Burgos Promesas 2000 0-2 HT 0-1 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos Promesas 2000
4-4
AWAY Rayo Cantabria
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 18
10 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Burgos Promesas 2000 vs Rayo Cantabria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos Promesas 2000 and Rayo Cantabria shared the points in a 4-4 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rayo Cantabria at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Burgos Promesas 2000 had 50% of the ball to Rayo Cantabria's 50%, shots finished 17-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Burgos Promesas 2000 and 0.75 for Rayo Cantabria.

What was the final score of Burgos Promesas 2000 vs Rayo Cantabria?

Burgos Promesas 2000 4-4 Rayo Cantabria in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos Promesas 2000 vs Rayo Cantabria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rayo Cantabria win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Burgos Promesas 2000 34%, draw 23%, Rayo Cantabria 43%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rayo Cantabria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rayo Cantabria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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