Real Avila 2-1 Marino De Luanco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.54
Over 2.5
50%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.13
No
46%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.0pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.6pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
61%
-11.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
39%
+11.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
43%
+11.2pp
46%
BTTS No
57%
-11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Avila EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 26%
-21% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.45/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.10
+1% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Avila
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Marino De Luanco
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.11.2025 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Avila Real Avila İS4
26.01.2025 Real Avila Real Avila 1-0 HT 1-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
15.09.2024 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Avila Real Avila İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Avila
2-1
AWAY Marino De Luanco
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Avila vs Marino De Luanco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Avila squeezed past Marino De Luanco 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Avila as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Real Avila had 57% of the ball to Marino De Luanco's 43%, shots finished 14-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Avila had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Real Avila and 0.33 for Marino De Luanco.

What was the final score of Real Avila vs Marino De Luanco?

Real Avila 2-1 Marino De Luanco in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Avila vs Marino De Luanco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Avila win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Real Avila 51%, draw 23%, Marino De Luanco 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Avila), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Avila) ✓ BTTS Yes
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