Marino De Luanco 1-0 Real Avila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-3.8pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.1pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.0pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Avila EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.07/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.85
-13% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
243 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marino De Luanco
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Real Avila
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
26.01.2025 Real Avila Real Avila 1-0 HT 1-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
15.09.2024 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Avila Real Avila İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marino De Luanco
1-0
AWAY Real Avila
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Marino De Luanco vs Real Avila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marino De Luanco nicked a narrow win over Real Avila 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and on the day Marino De Luanco made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Marino De Luanco had 47% of the ball to Real Avila's 53%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Real Avila led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Marino De Luanco and 1.00 for Real Avila.

What was the final score of Marino De Luanco vs Real Avila?

Marino De Luanco 1-0 Real Avila in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marino De Luanco vs Real Avila?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marino De Luanco win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Marino De Luanco 34%, draw 32%, Real Avila 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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