Real Avila 1-0 Marino De Luanco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.19
Draw
36%
2.83
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.33
No
48%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.4pp
36%
Draw
32%
+3.8pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
39%
+13.3pp
48%
BTTS No
61%
-13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Avila EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 30%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.41/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.31
+17% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Avila
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Marino De Luanco
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
15.09.2024 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Avila Real Avila İS4
POST-MATCH Real Avila vs Marino De Luanco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Avila squeezed past Marino De Luanco 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 36% / 31% — and on the day Real Avila made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Real Avila vs Marino De Luanco?

Real Avila 1-0 Marino De Luanco in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Avila vs Marino De Luanco?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Real Avila 33%, draw 36%, Marino De Luanco 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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