Atlético Paso 0-1 Cacereno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.27
No
50%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
18%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-5.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.7pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlético Paso EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacereno EU Bookmakers 51%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.18/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.60
+22% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +50%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlético Paso
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Cacereno
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2024 Cacereno Cacereno 2-0 HT 0-0 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso İS4
10.12.2023 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso 0-0 HT 0-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
12.02.2023 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso 2-0 HT 0-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
25.09.2022 Cacereno Cacereno 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlético Paso
0-1
AWAY Cacereno
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atlético Paso vs Cacereno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno nicked a narrow win over Atlético Paso 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cacereno as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Atlético Paso had 57% of the ball to Cacereno's 43%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cacereno led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atlético Paso and 0.75 for Cacereno.

What was the final score of Atlético Paso vs Cacereno?

Atlético Paso 0-1 Cacereno in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlético Paso vs Cacereno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atlético Paso 29%, draw 30%, Cacereno 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cacereno), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cacereno) ✓ Under 2.5
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