Mostoles 1-0 Union Adarve — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.7pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.2pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.9pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mostoles EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Adarve EU Bookmakers 38%
-15% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -20%
0.80/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.16
-29% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mostoles
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Union Adarve
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2024 Union Adarve Union Adarve 2-1 HT 1-0 Mostoles İS4
10.04.2022 Mostoles 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
21.11.2021 Union Adarve Union Adarve 1-0 HT 1-0 Mostoles İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mostoles
1-0
AWAY Union Adarve
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mostoles vs Union Adarve
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mostoles squeezed past Union Adarve 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Mostoles found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mostoles had 53% of the ball to Union Adarve's 47%, shots finished 22-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Union Adarve led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Mostoles and 1.00 for Union Adarve.

What was the final score of Mostoles vs Union Adarve?

Mostoles 1-0 Union Adarve in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mostoles vs Union Adarve?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mostoles win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mostoles 38%, draw 26%, Union Adarve 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mostoles), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mostoles) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
26 Jan 2025
00:00 Mallorca II vs Badalona Analysis →
13:30 Subiza vs Eibar II Analysis →
13:30 La Union Atletico vs Granada II Analysis →
13:30 Getafe II vs Real Madrid III Analysis →
13:30 Navalcarnero vs Union Sur Yaiza Analysis →
14:00 Atlético Paso vs Cacereno Analysis →