Union Adarve 2-1 Mostoles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Adarve EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Mostoles EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.70/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.20
+35% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Adarve
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Mostoles
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
10.04.2022 Mostoles 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
21.11.2021 Union Adarve Union Adarve 1-0 HT 1-0 Mostoles İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Adarve
2-1
AWAY Mostoles
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Adarve vs Mostoles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Adarve edged past Mostoles 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Adarve as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Union Adarve had 55% of the ball to Mostoles's 45%, shots finished 7-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Union Adarve had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Union Adarve and 0.00 for Mostoles.

What was the final score of Union Adarve vs Mostoles?

Union Adarve 2-1 Mostoles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Adarve vs Mostoles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Adarve win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Union Adarve 47%, draw 28%, Mostoles 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Adarve) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Adarve) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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