Talavera CF 1-0 Melilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Sep 2024

Talavera CF
1-0 HT 0-0
Melilla
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2024/2025

Talavera CF vs Melilla Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.54
Over 2.5
33%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-3.8pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.3pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.6pp
67%
Under 2.5
61%
+5.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
39%
-5.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.6pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Talavera CF v Melilla — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Melilla EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.32/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.09
+4% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2

Talavera CF vs Melilla Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talavera CF
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Melilla
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.04.2023 Melilla Melilla 2-0 HT 0-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
11.12.2022 Talavera CF Talavera CF 0-2 HT 0-0 Melilla Melilla İS4
24.01.2021 Melilla Melilla 0-3 HT 0-3 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS3
26.01.2020 Melilla Melilla 1-1 HT 0-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS3
08.09.2019 Talavera CF Talavera CF 5-1 HT 2-0 Melilla Melilla İS3
POST-MATCH Talavera CF vs Melilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talavera CF nicked a narrow win over Melilla 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 28%) promised a tight game; Talavera CF found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Talavera CF and 1.20 for Melilla.

What was the final score of Talavera CF vs Melilla?

Talavera CF 1-0 Melilla in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talavera CF vs Melilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talavera CF win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Talavera CF 39%, draw 33%, Melilla 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Talavera CF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Talavera CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
15 Sep 2024
12:30 Granada II vs La Union Atletico Analysis →
12:30 Eibar II vs Subiza Analysis →
13:00 Union Adarve vs Mostoles Analysis →
13:00 Tenerife II vs CD Guadalajara Analysis →
13:00 Cacereno vs Atlético Paso Analysis →
13:00 SS Reyes vs Colonia Moscardo Analysis →