SS Reyes 1-1 Colonia Moscardo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.91
Over 2.5
58%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
-0.8pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.9pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.5pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Reyes EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.98/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+27% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Reyes
1-1
AWAY Colonia Moscardo
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SS Reyes vs Colonia Moscardo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Reyes and Colonia Moscardo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was SS Reyes at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, SS Reyes had 60% of the ball to Colonia Moscardo's 40%, shots finished 17-5.

What was the final score of SS Reyes vs Colonia Moscardo?

SS Reyes 1-1 Colonia Moscardo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Reyes vs Colonia Moscardo?

Before kick-off our model rated a SS Reyes win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split SS Reyes 54%, draw 20%, Colonia Moscardo 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SS Reyes), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SS Reyes) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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