Marino De Luanco 0-1 Real Avila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.18
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
79%
1.33
Over 2.5
21%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
28%
2.53
No
72%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
49%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
26%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-10.3pp
34%
Draw
32%
+1.3pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+9.0pp
79%
Under 2.5
72%
+7.1pp
21%
Over 2.5
28%
-7.1pp
28%
BTTS Yes
36%
-7.2pp
72%
BTTS No
64%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Avila EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +66% / +66%
0.93/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-23% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marino De Luanco
0-1
AWAY Real Avila
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Marino De Luanco vs Real Avila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Avila nicked a narrow win over Marino De Luanco 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 34% / 34% — and on the day Real Avila made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (79%), no to both teams scoring (72%) came in.

On the day, Marino De Luanco had 57% of the ball to Real Avila's 43%, shots finished 7-7.

What was the final score of Marino De Luanco vs Real Avila?

Marino De Luanco 0-1 Real Avila in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marino De Luanco vs Real Avila?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Avila win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Marino De Luanco 32%, draw 34%, Real Avila 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (32/34/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
15 Sep 2024
12:30 Granada II vs La Union Atletico Analysis →
12:30 Eibar II vs Subiza Analysis →
13:00 Union Adarve vs Mostoles Analysis →
13:00 Tenerife II vs CD Guadalajara Analysis →
13:00 Cacereno vs Atlético Paso Analysis →
13:00 SS Reyes vs Colonia Moscardo Analysis →