Tenerife II 3-3 Real Madrid III — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid III EU Bookmakers 33%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.87/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.09
+53% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Real Madrid III
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Real Madrid III Real Madrid III 2-1 HT 1-0 Tenerife II Tenerife II İS4
24.11.2024 Tenerife II Tenerife II 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Madrid III Real Madrid III İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife II
3-3
AWAY Real Madrid III
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tenerife II vs Real Madrid III
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tenerife II and Real Madrid III couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tenerife II had 57% of the ball to Real Madrid III's 43%, shots finished 11-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Real Madrid III led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tenerife II and 1.50 for Real Madrid III.

What was the final score of Tenerife II vs Real Madrid III?

Tenerife II 3-3 Real Madrid III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife II vs Real Madrid III?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tenerife II 37%, draw 28%, Real Madrid III 35%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tenerife II) ✗ Under 2.5
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