Lorca Deportiva 2-1 Malaga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.56
Over 2.5
50%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
48%
+5.8pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
60%
-10.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
40%
+10.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lorca Deportiva EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Malaga II EU Bookmakers 27%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.79
-29% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
POST-MATCH Lorca Deportiva vs Malaga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorca Deportiva squeezed past Malaga II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lorca Deportiva as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Lorca Deportiva vs Malaga II?

Lorca Deportiva 2-1 Malaga II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lorca Deportiva vs Malaga II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lorca Deportiva win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Lorca Deportiva 54%, draw 24%, Malaga II 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorca Deportiva) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lorca Deportiva)
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