Linares Deportivo 2-1 UCAM Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.27
No
47%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.0pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
40%
+12.8pp
47%
BTTS No
60%
-12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linares Deportivo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
1.43/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.11
+28% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linares Deportivo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY UCAM Murcia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 2-0 HT 1-0 Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo İS4
27.10.2024 Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo 1-1 HT 0-1 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
01.11.2023 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 0-0 HT 0-0 Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo İSPK
01.05.2022 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 1-2 HT 0-1 Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo İS3
18.09.2021 Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo 1-2 HT 1-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS3
24.01.2021 Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo 1-0 HT 0-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS3
POST-MATCH Linares Deportivo vs UCAM Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linares Deportivo nicked a narrow win over UCAM Murcia 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and on the day Linares Deportivo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Linares Deportivo and 1.00 for UCAM Murcia.

What was the final score of Linares Deportivo vs UCAM Murcia?

Linares Deportivo 2-1 UCAM Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linares Deportivo vs UCAM Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated an UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Linares Deportivo 31%, draw 30%, UCAM Murcia 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (UCAM Murcia), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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