Linares Deportivo 1-1 UCAM Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.7pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linares Deportivo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 37%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -23%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.24
+78% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linares Deportivo
2W-1D-2L
AWAY UCAM Murcia
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2023 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 0-0 HT 0-0 Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo İSPK
01.05.2022 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 1-2 HT 0-1 Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo İS3
18.09.2021 Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo 1-2 HT 1-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS3
24.01.2021 Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo 1-0 HT 0-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS3
25.10.2020 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 1-0 HT 1-0 Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo İS3
POST-MATCH Linares Deportivo vs UCAM Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linares Deportivo and UCAM Murcia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Linares Deportivo and 0.80 for UCAM Murcia.

What was the final score of Linares Deportivo vs UCAM Murcia?

Linares Deportivo 1-1 UCAM Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linares Deportivo vs UCAM Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linares Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Linares Deportivo 39%, draw 27%, UCAM Murcia 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Linares Deportivo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Linares Deportivo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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