La Union Atletico 3-1 Don Benito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Union Atletico EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Don Benito EU Bookmakers 28%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -3%
0.74/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.46
-42% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Union Atletico
3-1
AWAY Don Benito
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH La Union Atletico vs Don Benito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Union Atletico got the better of Don Benito 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had La Union Atletico as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, La Union Atletico had 51% of the ball to Don Benito's 49%, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of La Union Atletico vs Don Benito?

La Union Atletico 3-1 Don Benito in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Union Atletico vs Don Benito?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Union Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split La Union Atletico 47%, draw 28%, Don Benito 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Union Atletico) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (La Union Atletico) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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