Almeria II 2-1 UD San Fernando — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.7pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY UD San Fernando EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
2.48/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.46
+105% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% / +127%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria II
2-1
AWAY UD San Fernando
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Almeria II vs UD San Fernando
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almeria II squeezed past UD San Fernando 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Almeria II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Almeria II had 56% of the ball to UD San Fernando's 44%, shots finished 6-12.

What was the final score of Almeria II vs UD San Fernando?

Almeria II 2-1 UD San Fernando in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria II vs UD San Fernando?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Almeria II 37%, draw 29%, UD San Fernando 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almeria II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Almeria II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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