Illescas 0-1 Colonia Moscardo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
39%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+9.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.5pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illescas EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+33% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
309 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Illescas
0-1
AWAY Colonia Moscardo
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Illescas vs Colonia Moscardo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colonia Moscardo nicked a narrow win over Illescas 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Colonia Moscardo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Illescas had 55% of the ball to Colonia Moscardo's 45%, shots finished 16-12.

What was the final score of Illescas vs Colonia Moscardo?

Illescas 0-1 Colonia Moscardo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illescas vs Colonia Moscardo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Colonia Moscardo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Illescas 35%, draw 26%, Colonia Moscardo 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colonia Moscardo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colonia Moscardo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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