Luzern II 4-2 Lugano II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.66
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
19%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.38
No
42%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
56%
+8.9pp
17%
Draw
21%
-3.9pp
19%
Away Win
24%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.6pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luzern II EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano II EU Bookmakers 28%
+16% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
3.90/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.14
+81% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
423 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luzern II
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Lugano II
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2025 Lugano II Lugano II 2-2 HT 1-0 Luzern II Luzern II İSV1Y
21.09.2024 Lugano II Lugano II 1-1 Luzern II Luzern II İSV1Y
18.11.2023 Luzern II Luzern II 4-4 HT 3-1 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Luzern II vs Lugano II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luzern II beat Lugano II 4-2. Half-time: 3-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Luzern II as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Luzern II and 2.33 for Lugano II.

What was the final score of Luzern II vs Lugano II?

Luzern II 4-2 Lugano II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luzern II vs Lugano II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luzern II win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Luzern II 64%, draw 17%, Lugano II 19%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luzern II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Luzern II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV1Y More Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme
21 Mar 2026
17:00 Breitenrain vs Kreuzlingen Analysis →
17:00 Paradiso vs Grand-Saconnex Analysis →
17:30 Basel II vs Young Boys II Analysis →
18:00 Brühl vs FC Schaffhausen Analysis →
19:30 Kriens vs Cham Analysis →
19:30 Vevey Sport vs Lausanne Sport II Analysis →