Lugano II 1-1 Luzern II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.41
No
46%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
22%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+2.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-2.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
67%
-13.2pp
46%
BTTS No
33%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano II EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern II EU Bookmakers 49%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.52/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/2.83
-14% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -43%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Luzern II
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
18.11.2023 Luzern II Luzern II 4-4 HT 3-1 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Lugano II vs Luzern II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano II and Luzern II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Luzern II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Lugano II vs Luzern II?

Lugano II 1-1 Luzern II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano II vs Luzern II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Luzern II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lugano II 34%, draw 24%, Luzern II 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Luzern II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luzern II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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