Kriens 3-1 Paradiso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
39%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
48%
-12.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
39%
Away Win
26%
+12.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kriens EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Paradiso EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.13/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.16
-42% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +63%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
361 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kriens
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Paradiso
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.05.2024 Paradiso Paradiso 1-2 Kriens Kriens İSV1Y
28.10.2023 Kriens Kriens 3-1 HT 1-1 Paradiso Paradiso İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Kriens vs Paradiso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kriens saw off Paradiso 3-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Kriens found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kriens had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kriens and 1.00 for Paradiso.

What was the final score of Kriens vs Paradiso?

Kriens 3-1 Paradiso in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kriens vs Paradiso?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paradiso win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kriens 36%, draw 25%, Paradiso 39%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Paradiso) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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