Juventus 1-1 Sassuolo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
71%
1.3
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.38
Over
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.68
2-3
38%
1.9
4-5
28%
2.7
6+
13%
7.15
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.68 — our 21% vs market 15.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.49
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
4%
20.6
X/1
27%
3.78
X/2
4%
18.2
X/X
6%
7.94
2/1
12%
21.1
2/2
6%
15.4
2/X
6%
23.95
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Juventus The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo The Market 14%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
2.00 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.13
0.67 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.76
Average Attackvs comparable teams Great
Great Defensevs comparable teams Average
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
472 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
33.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
20.9 Crosses 12.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Sassuolo
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.45 xG 0.89
49% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
405 Passes 420
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2026 Sassuolo Sassuolo 0-3 HT 0-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
16.01.2024 Juventus Juventus 3-0 HT 2-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
23.09.2023 Sassuolo Sassuolo 4-2 HT 2-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
16.04.2023 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-0 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
15.08.2022 Juventus Juventus 3-0 HT 2-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
25.04.2022 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-2 HT 1-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
1-1
AWAY Sassuolo
2.09 xG 0.53
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
494 Passes 239
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
61 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Juventus vs Sassuolo
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Juventus and Sassuolo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Juventus at 71% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (61%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Juventus had 66% of the ball to Sassuolo's 34%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.09 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Juventus and 1.00 for Sassuolo.

Juventus vs Sassuolo Result & Final Score

Juventus 1-1 Sassuolo in the Italy - Serie A on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Juventus vs Sassuolo Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Juventus 71%, draw 16%, Sassuolo 13%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Juventus), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Juventus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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