San Lorenzo 5-0 Deportivo Rincon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Cup, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.32
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
13%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.51
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
31%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
72%
-4.0pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.1pp
13%
Away Win
10%
+3.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+9.0pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Rincon EU Bookmakers 12%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.95/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-53% / +114% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -10%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
317 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 71%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
28.5 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Rincon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Lorenzo swept aside Deportivo Rincon 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had San Lorenzo as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Rincon?

San Lorenzo 5-0 Deportivo Rincon in the Argentina - Cup on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Rincon?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Lorenzo win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 68%, draw 19%, Deportivo Rincon 13%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Lorenzo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Lorenzo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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ARJK More Argentina - Cup
21 Mar 2026
03:15 San Lorenzo vs Rincón Analysis →