Boussu Dour Borinage 4-1 Kortrijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 21 Mar 2026

Boussu Dour Borinage
4-1 HT 1-0
Kortrijk
📅21/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Boussu Dour Borinage vs Kortrijk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
52%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
13.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
23%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
52%
Away Win
52%
+0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boussu Dour Borinage v Kortrijk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 56%
+12% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.15/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.40
+23% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
18.6 Crosses 22.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Boussu Dour Borinage vs Kortrijk Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kortrijk
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.77 xG 1.76
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
476 Passes 236
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 21
30 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.08.2025 Kortrijk Kortrijk 2-0 HT 1-0 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage BEL2

Boussu Dour Borinage 4-1 Kortrijk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage
4-1
AWAY Kortrijk
2.15 xG 2.49
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
218 Passes 332
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boussu Dour Borinage vs Kortrijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boussu Dour Borinage cruised past Kortrijk 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kortrijk at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Boussu Dour Borinage had 42% of the ball to Kortrijk's 58%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 2.15 to 2.49.

What was the final score of Boussu Dour Borinage vs Kortrijk?

Boussu Dour Borinage 4-1 Kortrijk in the Belgium - 1st Division on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boussu Dour Borinage vs Kortrijk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kortrijk win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Boussu Dour Borinage 21%, draw 27%, Kortrijk 52%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kortrijk), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kortrijk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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