RWDM Brussels 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.51
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
27%
3.08
6+ Goals
13%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.4pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RWDM Brussels EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 30%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.39/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.53
-19% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
15.3 Crosses 17.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RWDM Brussels
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.38 xG 1.37
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
494 Passes 235
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 1
19.09.2025 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 2-0 HT 0-0 RWDM Brussels RWDM Brussels BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RWDM Brussels
1-1
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
1.40 xG 1.03
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
294 Passes 379
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RWDM Brussels vs Lierse Kempenzonen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RWDM Brussels and Lierse Kempenzonen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was RWDM Brussels at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, RWDM Brussels had 44% of the ball to Lierse Kempenzonen's 56%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.40 to 1.03.

What was the final score of RWDM Brussels vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

RWDM Brussels 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RWDM Brussels vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Before kick-off our model rated a RWDM Brussels win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split RWDM Brussels 50%, draw 23%, Lierse Kempenzonen 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RWDM Brussels), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RWDM Brussels) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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