Horsholm-Usserod 4-2 Lyseng — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.68
No
38%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-0.9pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
56%
+6.0pp
38%
BTTS No
44%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Horsholm-Usserod EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyseng EU Bookmakers 24%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.42/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.21
-25% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Horsholm-Usserod
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lyseng
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.08.2025 Lyseng Lyseng 1-2 HT 0-0 Horsholm-Usserod DAN3
POST-MATCH Horsholm-Usserod vs Lyseng
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Horsholm-Usserod got the better of Lyseng 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Horsholm-Usserod as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Horsholm-Usserod vs Lyseng?

Horsholm-Usserod 4-2 Lyseng in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Horsholm-Usserod vs Lyseng?

Before kick-off our model rated a Horsholm-Usserod win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Horsholm-Usserod 56%, draw 23%, Lyseng 21%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Horsholm-Usserod), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Horsholm-Usserod) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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