Holbaek 2-2 Sundby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.7pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holbaek EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sundby EU Bookmakers 21%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.46/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/2.21
+36% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
333 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holbaek
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Sundby
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.08.2025 Sundby 2-0 HT 1-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
28.03.2025 Holbaek Holbaek 0-2 Sundby DAN3
06.09.2024 Sundby 1-0 HT 0-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
POST-MATCH Holbaek vs Sundby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holbaek and Sundby couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Holbaek at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sundby led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Holbaek and 1.67 for Sundby.

What was the final score of Holbaek vs Sundby?

Holbaek 2-2 Sundby in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holbaek vs Sundby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holbaek win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Holbaek 54%, draw 23%, Sundby 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holbaek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holbaek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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