Sundby 2-0 Holbaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 22 Aug 2025

📅22/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
57%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
15%
1/X
9%
X/1
4%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
24%
-3.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
57%
Away Win
53%
+3.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.4pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sundby EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Holbaek EU Bookmakers 57%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -67% / -67%
0.56/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-56% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -50%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
285 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sundby
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Holbaek
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2025 Holbaek Holbaek 0-2 Sundby DAN3
06.09.2024 Sundby 1-0 HT 0-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sundby
2-0
AWAY Holbaek
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sundby vs Holbaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sundby beat Holbaek 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Holbaek carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sundby had 43% of the ball to Holbaek's 57%, shots finished 4-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sundby had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sundby and 0.00 for Holbaek.

What was the final score of Sundby vs Holbaek?

Sundby 2-0 Holbaek in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sundby vs Holbaek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holbaek win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sundby 20%, draw 23%, Holbaek 57%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Holbaek) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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