Ards FC 3-0 Warrenpoint Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
27%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
8.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.9pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.2pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Warrenpoint Town EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.67/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.08/2.18
-14% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -94% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Warrenpoint Town
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
26.12.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
11.04.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
26.11.2022 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 1-4 HT 1-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
26.12.2013 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Warrenpoint Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ards FC ran out comfortable winners over Warrenpoint Town 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ards FC as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ards FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Ards FC and 0.75 for Warrenpoint Town.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Warrenpoint Town?

Ards FC 3-0 Warrenpoint Town in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Warrenpoint Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 52%, draw 20%, Warrenpoint Town 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ards FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ards FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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