Newington Youth 4-0 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.66
6+ Goals
13%
7.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 26%
+25% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
2.46/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.66
+31% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
431 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newington Youth
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
21.11.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 3-3 HT 1-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
05.09.2025 Newington Youth Newington Youth 4-1 HT 2-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
12.04.2025 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
18.02.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 3-2 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
23.11.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
07.09.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 4-1 HT 2-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
POST-MATCH Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newington Youth ran out comfortable winners over Ballinamallard United 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Newington Youth as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newington Youth had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Newington Youth and 2.00 for Ballinamallard United.

What was the final score of Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United?

Newington Youth 4-0 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newington Youth win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Newington Youth 54%, draw 23%, Ballinamallard United 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newington Youth), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newington Youth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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